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Goldman Sachs expects the average price of iron ore to be 95 USD/ton in 2025 and 90 USD/ton in 2026.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Bezos' Amazon plans to donate $1 million to Trump's inauguration ceremony.

The onshore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.2795 at 16:30 on December 13th, down 165 points from the previous trading day.The South Korean National Assembly will vote on the impeachment case of Yin Xiyue at 4 pm tomorrow. It is reported that the South Korean National Assembly will hold a plenary meeting at 4 pm on the 14th (3 pm Beijing time) to vote on the motion on impeaching President Yin Xiyue. Opposition parties such as the Common Democratic Party originally planned to vote at 5 pm tomorrow, but the President's Office of the National Assembly moved the voting time forward by one hour. The Office of the Speaker of the National Assembly published news materials in this regard, saying that the impeachment case of Yin Xiyue was reported to the plenary session of the National Assembly this afternoon. According to relevant laws, Congress must vote on the impeachment case 24 hours after it is reported to the plenary session. This vote is a major issue concerning the country, and the President's Office of the National Assembly decided to vote one hour in advance, taking into account the internal discussion time of various parties and other factors.Central Bank of Peru: It is expected that the annual inflation rate and core inflation rate will remain within the expected range.

Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.IDC: In the third quarter, global intelligent sweeping robots shipped 5.014 million units, up 11.1% year-on-year. On December 13th, IDC reported that global intelligent sweeping robots shipped 5.014 million units, up 11.1% year-on-year. Among them, the domestic market was boosted by the trade-in of old models at the end of September, with 1.321 million units shipped, up by 17% year-on-year, and the efforts of most provinces were around 20%, which significantly stimulated the shipment of high-end models, and this trend also continued to this year's "Double Eleven". The proportion of overseas sales of China manufacturers continues to increase, and the competition of high-end all-around models in European and American markets is still fierce.Chip-concentrated stocks clustered in four major industries, and 43 stocks fell for more than three consecutive periods. According to the statistics of Securities Times and DataBao, as of December 12, 300 stocks disclosed the number of shareholders in the latest period, compared with the previous period (November 30), there were 162 stocks with a decrease in the number of shareholders. Specifically, the number of shareholders in 29 stocks decreased by more than 5%, and the number of shareholders in 5 stocks decreased by more than 10%, including Dongfang Huanyu, Zhongshe, Baina Qiancheng, Midland New Materials and Hengshuai. Many chip-concentrated stocks have performed well in the recent market. According to the statistics of DataBao, the average share capital of 126 chips has increased by 4.86% since last month, and the cumulative increase of 18 stocks is above 10%. The top gainers are Guoan Da, Beiwei Technology and Silk Road Vision, which have increased by 42.5%, 26.18% and 21.44% respectively. From the industry point of view, the number of chip concentrated stocks is the largest in the four major industries of mechanical equipment, power equipment, electronics, medicine and biology.